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Why is Pakistani rupee losing value against dollar?

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With the rupee falling to new lows, stakeholders are concerned that the weakening currency could open up Pakistanis to a new round of inflationary impact, which will hit the lower and middle classes the hardest.

No sector of the economy would be immune from the fallout of the steep devaluation of the local currency — which has lost about 20% this year, among the worst performers in the world.

The rupee has gained and lost value in the past and it will do so in the future as well but this time the curve has maintained its upward trend since quite a few months now.

Economists Ankur Shukla and Abhishek Gupta, in an analysis given on Bloomberg Economics, have compiled the reason why the Pakistani rupee was so weak.

The analysts said that the capital is fleeing Pakistan because there is a growing risk that the International Monetary Fund (IMF) will not deliver a bailout, which is needed for the country to avoid default in the fiscal year starting from July. They suspected that political unrest was probably one of the reasons the Fund was baulking as the aid has been stalled since November.

They also pointed out the impact of political tumult on the rupee, stating that the country’s leadership has been unstable since Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) Chairman Imran Khan was ousted as the prime minister via a no-confidence motion vote in April last year.

“Khan’s arrest this month has escalated the face-off between him and the government, as well as the army,” they noted, recalling that the rupee plunged to a record low of 299 per dollar after Khan’s jailing but recouped its losses and settled at 285 after his release.

Warnings of a massive drop in the rupee are flaring up, with some analysts forecasting another 20% decline is possible. Both economist also cautioned that the currency will likely fall further if Khan and the government continue to clash and if the IMF chooses not to provide loans.

Adil Ghaffar, chief executive officer at Premier Financial Services Pvt in Karachi also told Bloomberg that therupee may slump to as low as 350 per dollar in June if Pakistan fails to secure the loan.

“The rupee trajectory remains subject to considerable uncertainty as market sentiment is fragile,” Farooq Pasha, an economist in Karachi, said, adding that politics will remain the key risk in the near-term until the elections.

Moreover, bond investors are also growing more nervous, with the extra yield they demand to hold Pakistan’s dollar bonds over US Treasuries climbing above 35% points to a record this month. 

Why is Pakistani rupee losing value against dollar?

Pakistan’s dollar bonds are trading at distressed levels, with notes due in 2031 quoted at about 34 cents on the dollar.

The country’s dollar stockpile, which stood at $4.3 billion in mid-May, is also not enough to cover even one month of imports despite heavy restrictions. 

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A bid of ten billion rupees has been submitted by Blue World Consortium for the privatization of the Pan-India Airport (PIA).

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A bid of 10 billion rupees has been made by the Consortium to privatize Pakistan International Airlines.

There is only one bid from the Blue World Consortium.

The Blue World City Consortium has been the only group to submit documentation.

Through circulation, the Federal Cabinet will approve the reserve price of PIA.

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Business Leaders Are Encouraged To Keep Up With New Regulations Regarding Pakistan’s Textile Exports To Germany

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Despite the fact that Pakistan is a significant exporter of textiles to Germany, business leaders in Pakistan need to remain updated about developing laws. A conference on textiles was organized in Karachi, and German Consul General Dr. Rudiger Lotz underlined this point at the event.

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During his meeting with the Qatar Businessmen Association, the Prime Minister of Pakistan extended an invitation to invest in key sectors.

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Meeting with the Qatar Businessmen Association (QBA) delegation, Prime Minister Muhammad Shehbaz Sharif talked about strengthening economic ties and looking into new cooperation opportunities.

His Excellency Sheikh Faisal Bin Qassim Al-Thani led the QBA delegation, which was made up of prominent businesspeople from Qatar who each represented important economic sectors. During the discussion, prominent members of Qatar’s business sector and important leaders from Pakistan discussed how to improve trade, investment, and economic ties.QBA members in attendance included Sheikh Mansoor bin Jassim Al Thani, Chairman of the Mansoor Jassim Al Thani Group; Mr. Nabil Abu Issa, CEO of Blue Salon; Mr. Khalid Ahmed Al Mannai, Executive Director of Mannai Corporation; Mr. Salah Mohammed Jaidah, Chairman MENA & Chief Country Officer of Deutsche Bank; Mr. Yousuf Ebrahim Al-Mahmoud, Director of Sendian Group; and Mr. Salah Mohammed Jaidah, Chairman MENA & Chief Country Officer of Deutsche Bank.

By highlighting the many prospects in industries like energy, infrastructure, and finance, the prime minister made Pakistan an alluring place for foreign investment.

All of these delegates showed interest in Pakistan’s economic situation, namely in the future energy, technological, and infrastructure development initiatives under consideration.
Throughout the discussion, both parties looked at possible partnerships that may promote innovation, job creation, and sustainable development in both nations. The QBA members expressed interest in increasing their investments in Pakistan’s infrastructure and energy sectors in a positive response to the Prime Minister’s request. The significance of bilateral cooperation was emphasized in order to support regional economic growth and stability.

The meeting was also attended by Federal Ministers for Commerce Kam Kamal Khan, Finance and Revenue Mohammad Aurangzeb, and Information and Broadcasting Attaullah Tarar, as well as Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Affairs Senator Mohammad Ishaq Dar and Defense Minister Khawaja Muhammad Asif.

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