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What will happen if no-confidence motion succeeds against PM Imran Khan?

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The National Assembly is all set to vote on the no-confidence motion this Sunday after the Opposition decided to oust Prime Minister Imran Khan, accusing him of pushing the country into economic and political turmoil.

The PTI effectively lost its majority in the 342-member National Assembly Wednesday when a coalition partner — MQM-P — said its seven lawmakers would for the Opposition alliance. Before them, several other allies and PTI MNAs announced they will cross benches.

As a result, the PTI has the support of 142 MNAs while the Opposition has 199 — more than the required numbers of a simple majority, 172.

But if the prime minister is ousted, how will the next premier’s election take place?

Proposals

The NA rules and procedures mention that if the prime minister’s seat falls vacant, the house will proceed to elect a new Muslim premier without debate or any other business.

Any member may propose or second the name of any Muslim candidate for the top office, but no lawmaker’s name can be submitted twice — they can be named only on a single nomination paper.

Once the names have been decided, the names of the candidate should be sent to the Secretary by 2pm on the day preceding the day on which the election of prime minister is scheduled to take place.

Scrutiny

The speaker shall, in the presence of the candidates or their proposers or seconders who may wish to be present, scrutinise the nomination paper and may reject a nomination paper if he is satisfied that:

  • the candidate is not a member of the Assembly;
  • any provision of rule 32 has not been complied with; or
  • the signature of the proposer, the seconder or the candidate is not “genuine”

Following the scrutiny, the speaker has the power to either accept or reject the nomination papers. In case the papers are rejected, the speaker will have to briefly record the reasons.

“The decision of the speaker — accepting or rejecting a nomination paper — shall be final,” the NA rules read.

Withdrawal of nomination papers

A candidate can withdraw their candidature at any time before the election takes place.

Polling

On the day of the election, the speaker will read out the names of the candidates.

In case there is only one contesting candidate and they secure the votes of the majority of the total membership of the assembly, the speaker shall declare them to have been elected.

And if the contesting candidate fails to secure the votes of the majority of the total membership of the assembly, all proceedings will commence afresh.

Meanwhile, if there are two or more contesting candidates and if no contesting candidate secures such a majority in the first poll, a second poll will be held between the candidates who secured the two highest numbers of votes.

If the number of votes secured by two or more candidates securing the highest number of votes is equal, further polling will be held between them until one of them secures a majority of the votes of the members present.

When the prime minister is elected

After the prime minister has been elected, the speaker shall send the result in writing to the president and the secretary will issue a notification to be published in the gazette.

Will the PM be immediately sent packing?

Yes and no. According to Article 94 of the Constitution of Pakistan, the president may ask the prime minister to continue to hold office until his successor assumes the position.

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The PPP promises the government will support the budget vote.

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Insiders state that the PPP will support the budget despite expressing reservations about it.

As previously stated, the party leaders had not yet decided whether to support or oppose the federal budget that the administration will be announcing today.

Leading figures have reportedly reached a resolution over the dispute between two parties that are allies.

In order to have the budget approved, the People’s Party will give the PML-N its whole support. Sources stated that the PPP would back the budget’s adoption “in spite of protests and speeches in committee.”

The administration promised the PPP that some of its recommendations would be included in the budget, according to sources. Voting supporting the PML-N budget is a quid pro quo commitment made by the PPP leadership.

For assistance in passing the budget, the PML-N had asked the PPP.

The PPP has not yet decided whether to accept or oppose the budget, according to PPP leader Nayya Bukhari.

The forthcoming yearly budget for 2024–25 and the state of the nation’s economy as a whole were the topics of Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and President Asif Ali Zardari’s Tuesday meeting.

The meeting was also attended by Professor Ahsan Iqbal, the Federal Minister for Planning and Special Initiatives, a press statement from the President’s House stated.

The protection of low-income and middle-class interests in the annual budget is a priority, as highlighted by President Zardari. Along with pledging his support for fiscal benchmarks to be met, he also gave the prime minister assurances on national development.

The next budget’s proposed development projects were also discussed by President Zardari and Prime Minister Shehbaz. He told the president about his recent five-day travel to China, the prime minister said.

On June 12th, or today, the federal government will unveil its budget for the fiscal year 2024–25.

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PM Shehbaz will preside over today’s federal cabinet meeting.

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We will talk about the political and economic state of the nation on Tuesday, or today.

The meeting, which will take place in the prime minister’s office, will be facilitated by the prime minister.

As per insiders, the prime minister is expected to reassure the cabinet on his recent trip to China. The meeting will also include a discussion of the proposed budget for the upcoming fiscal year.

The decisions made at the sessions of the Economic Coordination Committee (ECC) are expected to be ratified by the cabinet as well, according to sources.

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Today, the IHC will hear the petitions of Imran Khan and Bushra Bibi in the matter of an illegal marriage.

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Imran Khan, the founder of PTI, and his wife Bushra Bibi will present their cases in an illegal marriage lawsuit before the Islamabad High Court (IHC) today, Tuesday.

At the hearing will be IHC Justice Miangul Hassan Aurangzeb. Regarding both petitions, the registrar’s office has previously voiced objections.

Bushra Bibi has appealed in her petition that the high court to take note of a matter that is still ongoing in the sessions court about the suspension of her sentence in an illegal marriage case.

In his appeal, PTI founder argued that the District and Sessions Judge Shahrukh Arjumand should be ordered by the high court to announce the case’s reserved ruling.

Through Khalid Yousaf Chaudhry and Barrister Salman Safdar, Bushra Bibi’s attorneys, filed the petition.

The petition was moved in the interim on Imran Khan’s behalf by attorney Salman Akram Raja.

Notably, on February 3, a civil court condemned Imran Khan, the founder of the Pakistan Terrorist Organization, and Bushra Bibi to seven years in prison for their illegal marriage.

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