Business

IMF wants govt to pass on Rs65bn burden to power consumers

Published

12 months ago

Farwa

Government has agreed with IMF that Rs55 billion would be passed on to consumers.
Remaining Rs10 billion would be absorbed through subsidy.
Pakistan’s cash-bleeding power sector is moving rapidly towards bankruptcy.

ISLAMABAD: The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has asked Pakistan to pass on Rs65 billion to consumers of electricity which has been deferred in the shape of Fuel Price Adjustments (FPA) during the peak of last summer season.

Out of the total outstanding amount of Rs65 billion on account of deferment of FPA in the electricity bills in the current fiscal year, the government has agreed with the IMF that Rs55 billion would be passed on to consumers and that would be recovered through bills. The remaining Rs10 billion would be absorbed through the allocation of subsidy amount.

In a grim situation, Pakistan’s cash-bleeding power sector is moving rapidly towards bankruptcy, as its total accumulated losses might climb up to Rs1,734 billion for the current fiscal year with the adoption of a status quo approach.

On the other hand, the consumers consider themselves voiceless because the word reform means hiking of tariffs, but actually it results in jumping theft in this sector.

Out of the total accumulated losses of Rs1,700 to Rs1,800 billion, there is a possibility of a subsidy of Rs1,000 billion and around Rs700 to 800 billion piling up in the monster of circular debt if no remedial measures are taken by the government.

Now, the multilateral creditors, including IMF/World Bank, are asking the government to come up with plans to finance the un-budgeted subsidies, including the K-Electric subsidy for which the Ministry of Finance allocated Rs26 billion against revised projections of Rs162 billion, surfacing a gap of Rs136 billion where no amount was available to bridge this gap.

The same scenario prevailed for the Zero Rating Industry (ZRI) and Kissan Package for which the government did not make subsidy allocations of Rs118 billion and Rs28 billion respectively in the current fiscal year.

The IMF also raised concerns over the failure to receive a deferred payment of bills on account of Fuel Price Adjustment, which is estimated to cost Rs65 billion. The bill recovery was reduced from the original target of 93.58% to 92%, creating a gap of Rs55 billion in the current fiscal year.

The theft of electricity target is also missed as the Transmission and Distribution (T&D) losses target was revised upward from 15.83% to 16.27%, which would result in a deficit of Rs31 billion.

The generation cost recovery is going to cause a financial loss of Rs63 billion. Rs24 billion for May-23 and Jun-23 FCA and Rs39 billion for Q3 & Q4 FY-23 Quarterly Tariff Adjustment (QTA) would be recovered in FY-24.

The hike in markup in recent months also jumped up liabilities of the power sector as the markup on IPPs and Power Holding Company increased from Rs185 billion to Rs249 billion, registering an increase of Rs64 billion.

The K-Electric resolution of subsidy will cause an additional burden of Rs136 billion for which the Finance Division did not make any budgetary allocation in the budget.

In the wake of less demand for power from 45 billion units to 40 billion units in the first quarter of the current fiscal year, the revenues dropped from Rs493 billion to Rs347 billion, registering a loss of Rs55 billion. The non-recovered GST paid to FBR is projected to cause a loss of Rs91 billion in the current fiscal year.

Now, it is expected there will be a possibility of generating financial losses in the range of Rs700 to Rs800 billion accumulating into the form of circular debt in the current fiscal year if the government did not hike the tariffs, bring efficiency and improve governance in cash-bleeding power sector.

Business

IMF board to meet on Jan 11 for Pakistan’s first review approval

Published

1 day ago

Farwa

Pakistan’s case not included in board meeting agenda for Dec 1-15.
Ongoing SBA programme is going to expire on April 14, 2024.
Pakistan, IMF reached agreement on first review last month.

The International Monetary Fund’s Executive Board will take up Pakistan’s first review on January 11 next year for approval that will unlock $700 million under the standby arrangement (SBA), Bloomberg quoted the lender’s spokesperson as saying on Friday.

Last month, Pakistan reached a staff-level agreement with the IMF under the $3 billion SBA and is awaiting the board’s approval to receive a second tranche.

Earlier this week, The News had reported that Pakistan’s first review for approval was not included in the IMF’s Executive Board meeting agenda for the 1-15 December schedule

The publication reported that the IMF did not firm up its exact schedule because the Fund’s team was busy securing re-confirmation from all multilateral and bilateral creditors to meet the financing requirements of $24.9 billion for the current fiscal year.

This delay surfaced in discussions among the policymakers that the IMF might kick-start parleys on the second review probably after the general elections and takeover by the elected government.

The IMF programme was initially scheduled to kick-start parleys for a second review from Feb 3, 2024, but if the elections were scheduled to be held on February 8, 2024, then the possibility of holding talks might be done in the last week of Feb or early March 2024.

The ongoing SBA programme is going to expire on April 14, 2024.

A day earlier, IMF Executive Director Bahador Bijani noted an overall improvement in the economic situation, saying, the “Pakistani authorities have delivered”.

He made these remarks at an event hosted by Pakistan’s ambassador to the US in honour of friends of Pakistan from International Financial Institutions including IMF, International Finance Corporation (IFC), World Bank (WB), and Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA), at Pakistan House in Washington.

“I think the future for Pakistan is very bright. Pakistan is not just any country. It’s one of the most important countries in the region and in the world. Pakistanis deserve much more,” the IMF executive director was quoted as saying in an official statement.

Nathan Porter, IMF Mission Chief to Pakistan, also expressed satisfaction over the recently concluded staff-level agreement. He said that the actions and policies of the current government reflected its commitment to steer the country towards stabilisation.

Pakistan is reeling from Asia’s fastest inflation, has about $1 billion in dollar-denominated debt due next year and is scheduled to hold elections scheduled in February.

Interim Finance Minister Shamshad Akhtar said after the staff-level deal in November that the country may seek an additional loan from the IMF, describing the economy as “still fragile.”

Business

PSX hits new milestone as KSE-100 surges past 66,000 mark

Published

1 day ago

Farwa

KARACHI: Bulls maintained their grip on the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) as the benchmark index shot past the 66,000 mark on Friday by gaining over 1,000 points.

According to the PSX website, the KSE-100 index gained 1,302.45 points or 2.01% to reach 66,020.52 points at 11:39am during the intraday trading.

Raza Jafri, who is the head of equities at Karachi-based Intermarket Securities, said that the banks and energy sector lead the rally at the bourse as cheap valuations and a reasonably settled environment help flows remain strong as foreign and local buys continue to invest.

“The MPC (Monetary Policy Meeting) next week should set the tone for near-term trading. While unchanged interest rates are widely expected, investors will look for clues in the text of the monetary policy statement to gauge how much interest rates can come down by next year,” he added.

Business

Pakistani authorities have ‘delivered’ on economic front, says top IMF official

Published

2 days ago

Farwa

IMF official says Pakistan ‘important’ country in the world.
“Our country is destined to succeed,” says Masood Khan.
Nathan Porter hails actions and policies of Pakistani govt.

WASHINGTON: Bahador Bijani, an Executive Director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), has noted an overall improvement in the economic situation, saying, the “Pakistani authorities have delivered”.

The meeting took place as Islamabad awaits the IMF board’s meeting to approve a staff-level agreement on the first review of a $3 billion bailout, which will unlock $700 million in funding for the country.

Addressing the event, Ambassador Masood Khan observed that the past year was difficult for Pakistan. “We have passed through a wrenching transition and we are moving toward a new phase of stability,” he added.

“Have faith in Pakistan. Our country is destined to succeed,” he said.

Hosted friends of 🇵🇰 from International Financial Institutions – IMF @imf_pakistan , World Bank @WorldBank, IFC @IFC_org, Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency @MIGA – to thank them for their steadfast support during the past year. We’ll continue to count on their partnership. pic.twitter.com/AuKbBDvG3s
— Masood Khan (@Masood__Khan) December 6, 2023

“Our confidence stems from the people of Pakistan. We have a growing middle class and our human capital is increasing at a very fast pace,” he added.

Addressing a gathering of over 40 guests from the IFIs, the ambassador said that we were grateful to IFIs for their steadfast support in navigating through a difficult economic period.

Nathan Porter, IMF Mission Chief to Pakistan, speaking on the occasion, expressed satisfaction over the recently concluded staff-level agreement. He said that the actions and policies of the current government reflected its commitment to steer the country towards stabilisation.

“With that base, hopefully, we can build on and be able to move forward to reforms to build a stronger, prosperous and inclusive Pakistan,” he said.

He also appreciated the cooperation and the policies pursued by the State Bank of Pakistan for ensuring fiscal stability in the country.

Athanasios Arvanitis, Deputy Director Middle East and Central Asia Department IMF, also spoke on the occasion and expressed the hope that the elections in Pakistan would usher into a new beginning of undertaking a reform process that the country needed to make progress and address some of its structural issues.

Thanking them for their strong support, Ambassador Khan observed that the digitisation of Pakistan’s economy was creating new opportunities in the country for its youth and professionals taking the lead role in steering the country towards a bright future.

Lauding the professional achievements of Pakistanis working in the IFIs, the ambassador observed that Pakistani professionals have proved their mettle and have made the entire nation proud of their accomplishments.

“We are a nation of talented people. If you can make it, Pakistan will also make it,” observed the ambassador.

Syed Ali Abbas, Advisor Mission Chief UK, European Department IMF, in his remarks, expressed the hope that with the successful completion of the electoral process in Pakistan, the country would move towards a long-term and more durable approach which would change the trajectory of Pakistan.

Aftab Qureshi from the World Bank and Sidra Rehman from the IMF also spoke on the occasion and assured their continued cooperation.

The ambassador thanked the members of the IFIs and said that the country looked forward to working with its development partners.