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Gold rate sees massive increase in Pakistan

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  • Gold price settles at Rs206,500 per tola in Pakistan.
  • It jumps after rupee’s historic decline against dollar.
  • Gold rate Rs3,000 per tola “undercost” in Pakistan.

Following a historic decline of the Pakistani rupee against the US dollar, the per tola gold price in Pakistan surged by a whopping 4.77% as investors’ attention once again diverted towards the precious commodity considered as an inflation hedge.

According to All-Pakistan Sarafa Gems and Jewellers Association (APSGJA), the price of gold (24 carats) surged by Rs9,400 per tola and Rs8,058 per 10 grams to settle at Rs206,500 and Rs177,040, respectively.

The massive increase in the price of gold came on after the rupee plunged by nearly Rs19, or 6.66%, against the US dollar to close at 285.09 against the dollar in the interbank market.

The price of gold is Rs3,000 per tola “undercost” in Pakistan, as compared to the Dubai market, showing that the Pakistani gold market was currently cheaper than the global.

It should be noted that Pakistan meets almost all its gold demand through imports, and traders follow its international price in setting rates in the country. Jewellers import the metal against the US dollar and UAE dirham before converting its price into rupees.

Cumulatively, the precious commodity gained Rs12,400 per tola in the last three sessions reversing the prevailing trend recorded last week — when gold lost Rs1,900 per tola.

The precious commodity scaled to an all-time high of 210,500 per tola on January 30, 2023; however, the gold price started receding after the rupee recovered on hopes of revival of the $6.5 billion International Monetary Fund (IMF) bailout programme.

Meanwhile, silver prices in the domestic market jumped by Rs120 per tola and Rs102.88 Rs2,200 per tola and Rs1,886.14 per 10 grams, respectively.

Gold prices broke a winning run on Thursday, weighed down by a firmer dollar and bullion’s outlook remains clouded by prospects of further interest rate hikes from the US Federal Reserve. The per-ounce price settled at $1,837 after an increase of $27.

While gold is considered a hedge against inflation, recent central bank rate hikes to bring down price pressures have weighed on the appetite for the metal since it yields no interest.

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Pakistan has amassed $14.5 billion in foreign exchange reserves.

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State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) statistics, which was made public on May 3, shows that the country’s foreign exchange reserves increased significantly to $14.45 billion.

A noteworthy increase of $1.11 billion to $9.12 billion was made in the SBP’s reserves.

The foreign exchange reserves that commercial banks possessed also experienced a notable surge, rising by $2.86 billion to $5.33 billion.

As per the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), Pakistan got the $3 billion standby arrangement last month, including the much-awaited $1.1 billion final tranche from the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

Following the successful conclusion of the second review by the Executive Board of the IMF under Stand-By Arrangement (SBA),” the SBP stated that it had been awarded Special Drawing Rights (SDR) 828 million, or $1.1 billion in value.

SBP reserves for the week ending on May 3, 2024, will show the payout, according to the central bank.

The second review of Pakistan’s Stand-By Arrangement (SBA) was finished by the IMF Executive Board one day earlier, enabling a $3 billion increase in total disbursements under the contract.

According to a statement from the IMF, “the completion of the second and final review ref­lects the authorities’ stronger policy efforts under the SBA, which have supported the stabilization of the economy and the return of modest growth.”

“Policy and reform efforts by the authorities, including strict adherence to fiscal targets, are necessary to move Pakistan from stabilization to a strong and sustainable recovery,” the statement continued.

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In April, worker remittances rose by 27.9 percent year over year.

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Based on the central bank’s data, the United Arab Emirates (US$ 542.3 million), the United Kingdom (US$ 403.2 million), Saudi Arabia (US$ 712.0 million), and the United States of America (US$ 329.2 million) were the top four countries from which remittance inflows in April 2024 originated.

The SBP said in a statement that “for the first ten months of the current fiscal year, workers’ remittances increased by 3.5 percent cumulatively, with inflow of US$ 23.8 billion, as compared to the same period last year.”

Previous records show that in March 2024, remittances from overseas workers totaled US$3 billion.

Regarding expansion, remittances rose by 16.4% annually and 31.3 percent monthly during the month under consideration.

Comparing the first nine months of the fiscal year 2023–24 to the same period previous year, an inflow of US$ 21.0 billion in worker remittances was observed, up from US$ 20.8 billion.

Saudi Arabia (US$703.1 million), the United Arab Emirates (US$548.5 million), the United Kingdom (US$461.5 million), and the United States of America (US$372.5 million) were the top sources of workers’ remittance inflows on March 24.

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Problem with SIM blocking: FBR to “move” court against Telcos and PTA

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Unless telecom operators block the SIMs of 500,000 non-filers by May 15, FBR is reportedly planning legal action against them.

According to sources, the FBR has conferred with its legal counsel in order to challenge telecom providers, such as PTA, in the Islamabad High Court for failing to abide by directives to disable non-filers’ SIM cards.

Sources also stated that the FBR and Ministry of Finance have decided to take legal action against PTA and telecom providers for failing to carry out the directives to block the SIM cards of non-filers even after more than ten days had passed.

Following a nationwide impasse over the barring of recognized non-filers’ mobile SIMs, the Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) and telecom operators took action.

Tight sources on the matter disclosed that, citing operational and technical challenges, the Cellular Mobile Companies declined to disable the SIM cards of 506,000 taxpayers who had been recognized as non-compliant.

Reportedly, telecom providers argued in a statement that executing FBR’s regulations presents legal challenges.

The Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) called for the authorities to disable the SIM cards of over 506,000 identified non-compliant taxpayers nationwide on April 30, issuing a general income tax order. This is important to note.

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