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FDI shrinks by 59% to $461m in first six months of FY 2023

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  • Financial sector fetches $176 million in FDI from global investors.
  • Investment in power sector falls to $237 million from $345 million.
  • Pakistan among least desired moneymaking markets for investors due to ‘deteriorating’ economy.

KARACHI: Pakistan’s foreign direct investment (FDI) shrank by 59% to $461 million in the first six months of the current fiscal year, the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) data showed on Wednesday.

The country witnessed a net foreign outflow of $17 million during December.

The financial sector fetched $176 million in FDI from global investors in July-December of the ongoing fiscal, which was lower when compared with $230 million in the corresponding months of the last fiscal year, the data showed.

The investment in the gas and exploration sector dropped to $89.2 million in July-December from $138.9 million a year earlier.

The investment in the power sector fell to $237 million from $345 million.

The shrinking of the FDI is not a positive development for the country. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) programme’s delay, continuous political unrest, and Pakistan’s deteriorating external finances have all reduced international investors’ confidence.

Due to rapidly dropping foreign exchange reserves, a weakening rupee, and worsening macroeconomic indicators, Pakistan’s economy is currently in a severe crisis.

The economy is severely cash-strapped following a disagreement with the IMF over tax goals that is preventing loan payments from being made.

The situation worsened as a result of floods that inundated a third of the nation and cut its growth in half.

Analysts said dollar outflows and the deteriorating state of the economy have made the country one of the least desired moneymaking markets for foreign investors, with the repatriation of profits on foreign investments falling by 83.41% year-on-year in July-November of the current fiscal year 2022-23. 

The central bank data showed paid profits from foreign investments in the country fell to $128.7 million in the first five months of FY23, down from $776 million reported in the corresponding fiscal year.

The economy is in virtual recession as the World Bank has projected growth of 2%, is about the same as population growth, for the current fiscal year, citing “precarious economic situation, low foreign exchange reserves and large fiscal and current account deficits” among the primary reasons.

There are also security concerns for investors as the country battles a Taliban insurgency in its northwest. There have been outflows from the stock market because of political uncertainty and economic and security worries.

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Trade ties between Pak-Oman: Both nations decide to activate “Joint Business Council”.

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Jam Kamal Khan, federal minister for commerce, visited Oman Chamber of Commerce and Industry in Muscat alongside chairman Faisal Abdullah Al Rawas.

To enable closer economic collaboration, both sides decided during the meeting to activate joint Business Council between OCCI and the federation of Pakistan Chambers of Commerce and industry.

Concurrent with the conference, the Embassy of Pakistan arranged a b2b networking event in association with OCCI to gather Omani Businessmen and Pakistani Business Delegates investigating trade prospects.

Speaking on the occasion, Jam Kamal Khan said, “Our present trade figures do not fairly represent the depth of our connection. We can quickly raise the current Trade volume to two or three times its present level by just eliminating logistical and communication barriers.

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Despite economic gains, PSX remains strong.

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Amidst the ongoing negotiations with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) regarding a loan tranche, the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) has resumed its upward trajectory in recent days.

The KSE-100 Index gained 600 points on Friday, the penultimate working day of the business week, and then increased to 115,730 points as traders showed confidence and engaged in trading.

After experiencing fluctuations, the PSX gained strength on Thursday, as the major index surpassed 115,000 points.

The KSE 100-Index closed at 115,094.23 points after gaining 1,009.70 points, or 0.89 percent. 115,247.39 was the intraday high, and 14,429.93 was the lowest.

According to experts, one important factor is Moody’s Ratings’ upgrade of Pakistani banks. Investor confidence has also increased due to the expectation of a positive conclusion from the negotiations with the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

In its assessment, Moody’s stated, “We have shifted our outlook on Pakistan’s banking system from stable to positive to reflect the banks’ resilient financial performance as well as improving macroeconomic conditions from very weak levels a year ago.”

The major index of the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) surpassed 115,000 on Thursday, indicating a surge in the market.

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Pakistan resolves to meet benchmarks, and the IMF promises economic help.

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In the midst of an ongoing economic review, the delegation from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has promised Pakistan economic cooperation.

In order to assess the delivery of a $1 billion tranche under the $7 billion rescue deal, IMF officials are now in Pakistan.

Today, March 14, marks the completion of the two-week-long economic review and negotiations between the global lender’s representatives and Pakistani authorities.

The team met with Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb at the Ministry of Finance for the last round of negotiations.

The nation’s economic team’s actions and performance were praised by the visiting officials.

Aurangzeb promised the IMF during the conference that all economic goals would be met. He said that as long as the loan program is in place, no goals would be broken.

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