Business

Gold glitters again as record high inflation boosts demand

Published

2 years ago

Farwa

Gold price settles at Rs141,000 per tola.
A surge of over 1.43% per tola snapped four-day losing streak of gold.
Silver prices plummet by Rs50 per tola.

KARACHI: Gold prices rose on Thursday, as skyrocketing inflation dulled risk appetite and boosted demand for the safe-haven metal, although an advancing Pakistani rupee limited bullion’s gains.

Data released by All Sindh Sarafa Association showed that the gold price in Pakistan surged by Rs2,000 per tola and Rs1,715 per 10 grams to settle at Rs141,000 and Rs120,885.

A surge of over 1.43% per tola snapped the four-day losing streak of the yellow metal during which the price of gold declined by Rs8,100 in the local market.

Record high Pakistan’s consumer price index-bases inflation surged to a multi-decade high of 27.3% in August which pushed the gold price to a one-and-a-half-year-high.

The safe-haven asset reversed its downtrend today as multi-year high inflation data boosted the appeal of the asset; however, the appreciation of the Pakistani rupee was pulling at the heels of the gold market and limiting its upside.

Gold is traditionally seen as an inflation hedge. However, reduced central bank interest rate hikes tend to push government bond yields up, translating into a higher opportunity cost for holding gold that pays no interest.

Gold is considered a hedge against inflation, but interest rate hikes would raise the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion.

In the international market, the price of yellow metal plunged by $13 per ounce to settle at $1,702. Gold prices briefly slid below the key $1,700 psychological level for the first time in six weeks, as major central banks stuck to an aggressive stance to combat inflation, dulling demand for non-yielding bullion.

It should be noted that the gold price stands below cost and is cheaper by Rs3,000 per tola compared to Dubai.

Meanwhile, silver prices in the domestic market plummeted by Rs50 per tola and Rs42.87 per 10 grams to settle at Rs1,470 per tola and Rs1,260.28 per 10 grams today.

Business

Pakistan will host an IMF team in May to discuss a new loan.

Published

16 mins ago

Farwa

According to sources, negotiations on a fresh loan program have been set between Pakistan and the foreign lender. There will be two stages to the meetings: technical discussions and policy-level conversations.

Prior to the upcoming negotiations, Pakistan must overcome formidable economic obstacles, including the collapse of an IMF-proposed tax amnesty program.

Although it hasn’t worked, the federal government had promised to include 3.1 million merchants in the scheme’s tax net. The recent turnover of senior officials has placed the Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) in an atypical position.

The negotiation process with the IMF will be difficult for the new and inexperienced FBR team. The significant drop in FBR’s tax collections would likely worry the IMF.

A day prior, Pakistan obtained the eagerly awaited $1.1 billion last installment from the IMF as a component of the $3 billion standby agreement.

Special Drawing Rights (SDR) 828 million, or $1.1 billion in worth, were given to the SBP “after the successful completion of the second review by the Executive Board of IMF under Stand By Arrangement (SBA),” according to the SBP.

Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb stated Islamabad might obtain a staff-level agreement on the new program by early July. Pakistan is seeking a new, longer-term, and larger IMF loan.

Although Aurangzeb has neglected to specify the specific program in question, Islamabad has stated that it is seeking a loan for a minimum of three years in order to support macroeconomic stability and carry out long-overdue and difficult structural reforms. Should it be approved, Pakistan would receive its 24th IMF bailout.

Business

In FY2024, SRB tax revenue soars to Rs 185.2 billion.

Published

45 mins ago

Farwa

In a statement released here, the SRB’s chairman, Wasif Memon, stated that he briefed Sindh Chief Minister Syed Murad Ali Shah about the organization’s revenue collections during their meeting.

In comparison, the tax collection during the same period of the previous financial year 2022–2023 stood at Rs143.3 billion. This achievement represents a 29 percent year-over-year growth, according to the Sindh Revenue Board (SRB), which recorded record revenue of Rs185.2 billion during the first nine months of the fiscal year 2023–2024.

The CM stated at the time that the SRB has shown tenacity and efficiency in revenue collection in spite of facing a number of difficulties, including the general economic downturn.

According to the statement, SRB’s monthly tax collection for April 2024 was Rs18.8 billion, a 23 percent increase from the Rs15.2 billion collected in the same month the previous year.

Business

Before the IMF delegation arrives, Pakistan will “finalize” its FY2024–25 budget targets.

Published

1 hour ago

Farwa

In order to discuss the new loan program that Pakistan is requesting to handle its financial needs, the IMF delegation is expected to arrive in Pakistan on May 15.

Within days of the IMF mission’s arrival, sources claim that the government accelerated its budget targets preparations. Relevant ministries have been instructed by the Ministry of Finance to meet targets as soon as possible.

Based on the information provided by the sources, the IMF will get a framework for all significant budgetary targets.

Before the IMF mission arrives, a strategic paper on the FY25 budget is reportedly going to be approved by the federal cabinet.

In addition, a preliminary estimate will be created for salaries, pensions, government spending, and loan repayments. The Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) will also set tax collection goals and defense spending.

According to additional sources, the economic team has been given a deadline by the Prime Minister’s Office to finish working on the FY25 budget.