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Stocks fall as delay in IMF talks, Saudi crown prince visit weigh

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  • Investors concerned as world commodities rise.
  • Shelving of Saudi crown prince visit dents sentiment.
  • Losses led by exploration and production sector stocks.

KARACHI: Stocks Monday got off to a bad start to close the first day of the week weaker as investors weighed a reported holdup on the International Monetary Fund (IMF) front amid ongoing political uncertainties.

After remaining soaked in the red ink, the whole day, Pakistan Stock Exchange’s (PSX) benchmark KSE-100 shares index settled at 42,851 after losing 242 points or 0.56% compared to the last closing on Friday.

Benchmark KSE-100 index intra-day trading curve. — PSX data portal
Benchmark KSE-100 index intra-day trading curve. — PSX data portal

Topline Securities in a note said a delay in Pakistan-IMF talks, rescheduling of the Saudi crown prince’s visit and a rally in the global commodity markets where international oil prices were trading up over 3%.

During the day, exploration and production, fertiliser and technology sector stocks contributed negatively to the index.

Pakistan Petroleum Limited, Oil and Gas Development Company, Pakistan Services Limited, Engro Corporation, and Pakistan Oil Fields lost 141 points, cumulatively.

On the flip side, TRG Pakistan, Lotte Chemical, and Habib Bank Limited together added 133 points.

Darson Research said stocks went downhill from the word ‘go’. 

“Earlier, as the equities started going down volatility emerged immediately, resulting in a selling spree that pulled the index below the 43,0000-point mark,” the brokerage said.

Over 185 million shares traded today at the bourse while the total value clocked in at Rs6 billion. Hascol Petroleum led the volumes chart with a trade of 26.5 million shares. Stocks that contributed significantly to the volumes are Hascol Petroleum, Pakistan Tobacco Company, Lotte Chemical, TRG Pakistan, and WorldCall Telecom.

Arif Habib Limited (AHL) in its post-market analysis said the trade commenced with a negative gap and proceeded to hit an intraday low of 42,761.88 points due to a lack of investor participation. 

“Mainboard activity remained flat as the third-tier stocks continued to be the volume leaders,” the AHL report said.

Sectors that dragged the index down turned out to be exploration and production (-86.5 points), cement (-38.4 points), fertiliser (-37.2 points), commercial banks (-37 points), and miscellaneous (-31.3 points).

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FBR Reforms: PM Leading Reforms Process with Law Minister as Top Priority

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According to Federal Law Minister Azam Nazir Tarar, Prime Minister Shehbaz is leading the entire reform process, and the Federal Government has made the reforms at the Federal Board of Revenue its top priority.

According to the law minister, who was speaking at a press conference in Islamabad, there are presently one billion rupees worth of tax cases pending in court. The parliament has for the first time passed legislation on tax tribunals in an effort to streamline and accelerate the legal process.

He stated that, strictly according to merit, there have already been a few postings and transfers in the FBR and that more are anticipated in the next few days.

Federal Information Minister Atta Tarar, who accompanied the Law Minister, stated that Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif is spearheading an effective foreign policy through productive meetings with world leaders.

He declared the premier’s trip to Saudi Arabia, where Shehbaz Sharif met with government representatives and corporate executives who indicated interest in investing in Pakistan, a success.

Atta Tarar also declared that a commercial team from Saudi Arabia would be visiting soon.

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Pakistan will host an IMF team in May to discuss a new loan.

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According to sources, negotiations on a fresh loan program have been set between Pakistan and the foreign lender. There will be two stages to the meetings: technical discussions and policy-level conversations.

Prior to the upcoming negotiations, Pakistan must overcome formidable economic obstacles, including the collapse of an IMF-proposed tax amnesty program.

Although it hasn’t worked, the federal government had promised to include 3.1 million merchants in the scheme’s tax net. The recent turnover of senior officials has placed the Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) in an atypical position.

The negotiation process with the IMF will be difficult for the new and inexperienced FBR team. The significant drop in FBR’s tax collections would likely worry the IMF.

A day prior, Pakistan obtained the eagerly awaited $1.1 billion last installment from the IMF as a component of the $3 billion standby agreement.

Special Drawing Rights (SDR) 828 million, or $1.1 billion in worth, were given to the SBP “after the successful completion of the second review by the Executive Board of IMF under Stand By Arrangement (SBA),” according to the SBP.

Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb stated Islamabad might obtain a staff-level agreement on the new program by early July. Pakistan is seeking a new, longer-term, and larger IMF loan.

Although Aurangzeb has neglected to specify the specific program in question, Islamabad has stated that it is seeking a loan for a minimum of three years in order to support macroeconomic stability and carry out long-overdue and difficult structural reforms. Should it be approved, Pakistan would receive its 24th IMF bailout.

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In FY2024, SRB tax revenue soars to Rs 185.2 billion.

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In a statement released here, the SRB’s chairman, Wasif Memon, stated that he briefed Sindh Chief Minister Syed Murad Ali Shah about the organization’s revenue collections during their meeting.

In comparison, the tax collection during the same period of the previous financial year 2022–2023 stood at Rs143.3 billion. This achievement represents a 29 percent year-over-year growth, according to the Sindh Revenue Board (SRB), which recorded record revenue of Rs185.2 billion during the first nine months of the fiscal year 2023–2024.

The CM stated at the time that the SRB has shown tenacity and efficiency in revenue collection in spite of facing a number of difficulties, including the general economic downturn.

According to the statement, SRB’s monthly tax collection for April 2024 was Rs18.8 billion, a 23 percent increase from the Rs15.2 billion collected in the same month the previous year.

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