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Pakistan’s current account deficit shrinks by 45% to $1.2bn

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  • Decline in current account deficit largely reflects a sharp decline in energy imports.
  • “Narrower deficit is the result of wide-ranging measures taken in recent months,” SBP notes.
  • Primary reason behind yearly deficit is a decline in remittances.

KARACHI: The three-month import ban imposed by the coalition government bore fruits as Pakistan’s current account deficit — the gap between the country’s higher foreign expenditure and low income — shrank by a massive 45% month-on-month.

The current account deficit clocked in at $1.21 billion in July 2022 in comparison to a deficit of $2.2 billion (revised figure) in June, data released by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) showed.

“The current account deficit shrank to $1.2 billion in Jul from $2.2 billion in June, largely reflecting a sharp decline in energy imports and a continued moderation in other imports,” the central bank said in a brief note released on its Twitter handle.

“The narrower deficit is the result of wide-ranging measures taken in recent months to moderate growth and contain imports, including tight monetary policy, fiscal consolidation and some temporary administrative measures.”

On a year-on-year basis, the primary reason behind the deficit was an 8% (yearly) decline in remittances along with a 0.4% (year-on-year) increase in total imports to $6.2 billion.

However, total exports increased by 4% year-on-year during July. Data showed that imports of goods stood at $5.39 billion in July, compared to $7.03 billion in June. At the same time, imports of services stood at $790 million in July compared to $1.32 billion in June.

Previously, widening the current account balance being an important indicator of Pakistan’s economy led to an outflow of US dollars, which had put additional pressure on the currency that has continued to struggle against the greenback.

SBP, PBS trade figures reveal discrepancies

However, the SBP and Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) trade figures revealed discrepancies. The data available showed that SBP imports exceed PBS imports in the first month of the fiscal year (July) — “a seldom event seen historically”.

According to the data released by the central bank, the total imports of the petroleum group clocked in at $2.4 billion while the figures of the bureau highlight the amount of $1.4 billion — reflecting a difference of $984 million.

Similarly, for the textile group, SBP data showed that the imports were around $379 million while PBS said that the imports clocked in at $309 million — which calculates to a difference of $70 million.

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FBR Reforms: PM Leading Reforms Process with Law Minister as Top Priority

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According to Federal Law Minister Azam Nazir Tarar, Prime Minister Shehbaz is leading the entire reform process, and the Federal Government has made the reforms at the Federal Board of Revenue its top priority.

According to the law minister, who was speaking at a press conference in Islamabad, there are presently one billion rupees worth of tax cases pending in court. The parliament has for the first time passed legislation on tax tribunals in an effort to streamline and accelerate the legal process.

He stated that, strictly according to merit, there have already been a few postings and transfers in the FBR and that more are anticipated in the next few days.

Federal Information Minister Atta Tarar, who accompanied the Law Minister, stated that Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif is spearheading an effective foreign policy through productive meetings with world leaders.

He declared the premier’s trip to Saudi Arabia, where Shehbaz Sharif met with government representatives and corporate executives who indicated interest in investing in Pakistan, a success.

Atta Tarar also declared that a commercial team from Saudi Arabia would be visiting soon.

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Pakistan will host an IMF team in May to discuss a new loan.

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According to sources, negotiations on a fresh loan program have been set between Pakistan and the foreign lender. There will be two stages to the meetings: technical discussions and policy-level conversations.

Prior to the upcoming negotiations, Pakistan must overcome formidable economic obstacles, including the collapse of an IMF-proposed tax amnesty program.

Although it hasn’t worked, the federal government had promised to include 3.1 million merchants in the scheme’s tax net. The recent turnover of senior officials has placed the Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) in an atypical position.

The negotiation process with the IMF will be difficult for the new and inexperienced FBR team. The significant drop in FBR’s tax collections would likely worry the IMF.

A day prior, Pakistan obtained the eagerly awaited $1.1 billion last installment from the IMF as a component of the $3 billion standby agreement.

Special Drawing Rights (SDR) 828 million, or $1.1 billion in worth, were given to the SBP “after the successful completion of the second review by the Executive Board of IMF under Stand By Arrangement (SBA),” according to the SBP.

Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb stated Islamabad might obtain a staff-level agreement on the new program by early July. Pakistan is seeking a new, longer-term, and larger IMF loan.

Although Aurangzeb has neglected to specify the specific program in question, Islamabad has stated that it is seeking a loan for a minimum of three years in order to support macroeconomic stability and carry out long-overdue and difficult structural reforms. Should it be approved, Pakistan would receive its 24th IMF bailout.

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In FY2024, SRB tax revenue soars to Rs 185.2 billion.

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In a statement released here, the SRB’s chairman, Wasif Memon, stated that he briefed Sindh Chief Minister Syed Murad Ali Shah about the organization’s revenue collections during their meeting.

In comparison, the tax collection during the same period of the previous financial year 2022–2023 stood at Rs143.3 billion. This achievement represents a 29 percent year-over-year growth, according to the Sindh Revenue Board (SRB), which recorded record revenue of Rs185.2 billion during the first nine months of the fiscal year 2023–2024.

The CM stated at the time that the SRB has shown tenacity and efficiency in revenue collection in spite of facing a number of difficulties, including the general economic downturn.

According to the statement, SRB’s monthly tax collection for April 2024 was Rs18.8 billion, a 23 percent increase from the Rs15.2 billion collected in the same month the previous year.

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